Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kosice, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday


	Mathys Erhard		Ivan Ivanov

	1	2
	2.28	1.56
	2.38	1.61
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.97)	1.58 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
40.8%

Ivan Ivanov
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathys Erhard's form might have worsened.

Ivan Ivanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ivan Ivanov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Ivanov than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ivan Ivanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mathys Erhard - Ivan Ivanov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erhard is ranked ATP: 400. Ivanov is ranked ATP: 669.

Erhard has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ivanov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ivanov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Ivanov will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
08.05.26	Florent Bax - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Skander Mansouri - Mathys Erhard	Mansouri S. Retired ✺
05.05.26	Lawrence Bataljin - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Mathys Erhard	Canceled ✺
29.04.26	Mathys Erhard - Andrej Nedic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 L?W?L
- Ivan Ivanov
ATP Challenger
25.05.26	Alafia Ayeni - Ivan Ivanov	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Radovan Michalik - Ivan Ivanov	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Ivan Ivanov - Luca Potenza	Canceled ✺
19.05.26	Ivan Ivanov - Franco Roncadelli	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.05.26	Sergi Perez Contri - Ivan Ivanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WW??L

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