Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Learner Tien

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.75	2.2
	1.71	2.13	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.1)	2.11 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
55.1%

Learner Tien
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Learner Tien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Arnaldi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Learner Tien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Matteo Arnaldi - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Tien will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 77. Djere is ranked ATP: 112.

Recent matches Seyboth Wild is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Djere is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Djere could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Seyboth Wild won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Dallas
07.02.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
06.02.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
03.02.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Musetti	1:3 ✺
ATP Brisbane
01.01.25	Reilly Opelka - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL
- Learner Tien
ATP Delray Beach
12.02.25	Learner Tien - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Learner Tien	3:1 ✺
17.01.25	Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
16.01.25	Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev	3:2 ✺
13.01.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Learner Tien	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWWW

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