Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)


	Matteo Arnaldi		Arthur Cazaux

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.38	3	Watch
	1.41	3.1
	1.41	3.1
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.35	3.24	Watch
	1.39	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	3.08 ↑ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
69%

Arthur Cazaux
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Arthur Cazaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Cazaux Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Cazaux could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Emil Ruusuvuori	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
26.03.24	Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 L?LWW
- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Dominic Thiem - Arthur Cazaux	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Arthur Cazaux - Harold Mayot	Cazaux A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.24	Arthur Cazaux - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
13.03.24	Arthur Cazaux - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.24	Arthur Cazaux - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ??LWL

Latest Head to Head

Boys Singles French Open
04.06.19	Arthur Cazaux - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0

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