Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3


	Matteo Arnaldi		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	3.8	1.25	Watch
	4.05	1.28
	4.05	1.29
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.63	1.3	Watch
	3.65	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.44)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
25.5%

Casper Ruud
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

72.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Matteo Arnaldi - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: Casper Ruud will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Ruud could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ruud is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ruud to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Barcelona
18.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Sebastian Baez - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
15.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Cazaux	Arnaldi M. retired ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Emil Ruusuvuori	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WW?L?
- Casper Ruud
ATP Barcelona
18.04.24	Jordan Thompson - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Alexandre Muller - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.24	Casper Ruud - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Novak Djokovic - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Ugo Humbert - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
28.04.23	Casper Ruud - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2

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