Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm, hard - Final

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Ugo Humbert		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.36	1.66
	2.17	1.65	Watch
	2.39	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.17)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
41%

Casper Ruud
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	0%	36.8%

Ugo Humbert - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Ruud will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Humbert (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Ruud (votes: 4 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 25. Ruud is ranked ATP: 12.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ruud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humbert won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Stockholm
18.10.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Ugo Humbert	Rune H. retired ✺
17.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ?WWLW
- Casper Ruud
ATP Stockholm
18.10.25	Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Marin Cilic - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Zizou Bergs - Casper Ruud	Ruud C. retired ✺
ATP Tokyo
29.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.24	Ugo Humbert - Casper Ruud	1:2
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.22	Casper Ruud - Ugo Humbert	1:3
ATP Paris
02.11.20	Ugo Humbert - Casper Ruud	2:1
ATP Hamburg
25.09.20	Ugo Humbert - Casper Ruud	1:2
ATP Auckland
12.01.20	Ugo Humbert - Casper Ruud	2:1

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