Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Matteo Arnaldi		Quentin Halys

	1	2
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.65
	2.25	1.64
	2.29	1.74
	2.11	1.7	Watch
	2.17	1.72
	2.22	1.68	Watch
	2.15	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.91)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.00

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
43.5%

Quentin Halys
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Arnaldi's form might have worsened.

Quentin Halys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Quentin Halys's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Quentin Halys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	0%	68.4%

Matteo Arnaldi - Quentin Halys Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Halys will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Halys: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Halys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 35. Halys is ranked ATP: 101.

Recent performances by Arnaldi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Halys is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Halys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arnaldi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Arnaldi - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.9%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Giles Hussey	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
05.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Flavio Cobolli	Cobolli F. Walkover ✺
03.06.26	Matteo Berrettini - Matteo Arnaldi	Berrettini M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWW??
- Quentin Halys
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Giles Hussey - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Toby Samuel - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
09.06.26	Quentin Halys - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.26	Quentin Halys - Alexander Zverev	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Quentin Halys	1:2

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