Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Toby Samuel

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.72
	1.95	1.75
	2.14	1.83
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	1.86	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.86)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
47.1%

Toby Samuel
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Matteo Arnaldi - Toby Samuel Predictions

Users Predictions: Toby Samuel will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 34. Samuel is ranked ATP: 144.

Arnaldi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Samuel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Samuel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Toby Samuel - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Eastbourne
20.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
05.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Flavio Cobolli	Cobolli F. Walkover ✺
03.06.26	Matteo Berrettini - Matteo Arnaldi	Berrettini M. Retired ✺
01.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	2:3 ✺
30.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Raphael Collignon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 W??WW
- Toby Samuel
ATP Eastbourne
20.06.26	Toby Samuel - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
ATP London
16.06.26	Arthur Fery - Toby Samuel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Toby Samuel - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW

Matteo Arnaldi - Toby Samuel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide