Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday


	Matteo Berrettini		Learner Tien

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.68	2.15
	1.72	2.24
	1.63	2.21	Watch
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.74	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.63)	2.15 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
55.9%

Learner Tien
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Matteo Berrettini - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Tien will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Tien (votes: 5 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Berrettini (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Tien (votes: 5 - 31.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 63. Tien is ranked ATP: 38.

Berrettini is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Tien has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Learner Tien - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.45%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Metz
05.11.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Matteo Berrettini - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Matteo Berrettini - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- Learner Tien
ATP Metz
05.11.25	Learner Tien - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Ugo Blanchet - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Learner Tien - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Learner Tien - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.25	Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL

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