Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: United Cup, hard

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Italy	Super Tennis


	Alex De Minaur		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.48	2.54
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.38	3.13	Watch
	1.27	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	2.98 ↑ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
66.9%

Casper Ruud
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alex De Minaur - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex De Minaur will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 7. Ruud is ranked ATP: 12.

In recent matches, De Minaur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

De Minaur is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
06.12.25	Alex De Minaur - Tomas Machac	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Alex De Minaur - Adrian Mannarino	3:1 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW
- Casper Ruud
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
06.12.25	Casper Ruud - Ugo Humbert	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Casper Ruud - David Goffin	3:0 ✺
05.12.25	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Daniel Altmaier - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
24.10.25	Casper Ruud - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Ruud C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
02.03.24	Alex De Minaur - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP Next Gen Finals
07.11.19	Alex De Minaur - Casper Ruud	3:0
ATP Challenger
12.05.18	Casper Ruud - Alex De Minaur	2:0

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