Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday


	Chris Rodesch		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.68	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.72	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.99)	2 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Rodesch
53.8%

Jurij Rodionov
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Rodesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chris Rodesch's performance.

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jurij Rodionov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Rodesch than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Chris Rodesch - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rodesch will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Rodionov will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodesch (votes: 2 - 40%). Rodionov (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodesch is ranked ATP: 209. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 167.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Rodesch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jurij Rodionov - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.81%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Rodesch
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	August Holmgren - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Billy Harris - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

Chris Rodesch - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide