Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florence, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Florence 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Matthew Donald		Carlos Sanchez Jover

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.6	2.19	Watch
	1.56	2.26	Watch
	1.68	2.2
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.6	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.5)	2.22 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
58.1%

Carlos Sanchez Jover
41.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Carlos Sanchez Jover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Matthew Donald - Carlos Sanchez Jover Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Donald will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sanchez Jover will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Donald (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 416., and Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 325..

Donald has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Sanchez Jover have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Donald may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Donald is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ATP Challenger
19.10.26	Matthew Donald - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Matthew Donald - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.10.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Matthew Donald	Tabacco G. Retired ✺
16.10.26	Alexander Weis - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Matthew Donald - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WW?WW
- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
09.10.26	Yanaki Milev - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
06.10.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWWL

Matthew Donald - Carlos Sanchez Jover

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Matthew Donald - Carlos Sanchez Jover Predictions

Preview

Form

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