Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sumter, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday


	Mattia Bellucci		Lukas Klein

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2.06	1.81
	1.91	1.84	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	2.05	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.05)	1.8 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
48.2%

Lukas Klein
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Lukas Klein has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Klein than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Klein could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Mattia Bellucci - Lukas Klein Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Klein will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Klein: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mattia Bellucci will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 74. Klein is ranked ATP: 122.

In recent matches, Bellucci has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Klein is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bellucci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bellucci won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Klein - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.96%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Mattia Bellucci - Hugo Gaston	Bellucci M. retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Mattia Bellucci - Cameron Norrie	0:3 ✺
02.07.25	Jiri Lehecka - Mattia Bellucci	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WL?LW
- Lukas Klein
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	James McCabe - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Ryan Seggerman - Lukas Klein	Seggerman R. retired ✺
27.07.25	Harold Mayot - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Jakub Paul - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Lukas Klein - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Mattia Bellucci - Lukas Klein	2:1

Mattia Bellucci - Lukas Klein: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide