Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sumter, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday


	Mattia Bellucci		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.57	2.44
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
			Watch
	1.38	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.38)	2.58 ↓ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
63.7%

Henrique Rocha
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mattia Bellucci - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bellucci (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 74. Rocha is ranked ATP: 171.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bellucci is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Mattia Bellucci - Hugo Gaston	Bellucci M. retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Mattia Bellucci - Cameron Norrie	0:3 ✺
02.07.25	Jiri Lehecka - Mattia Bellucci	0:3 ✺
30.06.25	Mattia Bellucci - Oliver Crawford	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 L?LWW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Henrique Rocha - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Henrique Rocha - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
19.07.25	Facundo Bagnis - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL

Mattia Bellucci - Henrique Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide