Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 4, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Max Basing		Luca Castelnuovo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.00
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.36	3.37
	1.34	2.97	Watch
	1.34	3.2	Watch
	1.34	2.97	Watch
	1.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.27)	2.99 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Basing
68.7%

Luca Castelnuovo
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Basing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Max Basing - Luca Castelnuovo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Basing (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basing is ranked ATP: 329. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 410.

Basing is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Castelnuovo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Basing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Basing is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Basing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Castelnuovo - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 27.79%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Basing
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Filippo Romano - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Max Basing	3:0 ✺
25.06.26	Max Basing - Remy Bertola	3:2 ✺
24.06.26	Max Basing - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWW
- Luca Castelnuovo
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
28.06.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Gabriel Ghetu	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Franco Agamenone	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Faris Zakaryia	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
06.06.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.08.24	Max Basing - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0

Max Basing - Luca Castelnuovo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide