Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Max Houkes		Zdenek Kolar

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.01	1.72
	2.01	1.71	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.99	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.33)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
46.3%

Zdenek Kolar
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Houkes's performance.

Zdenek Kolar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zdenek Kolar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Houkes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zdenek Kolar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Max Houkes - Zdenek Kolar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 257. Kolar is ranked ATP: 182.

Houkes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kolar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kolar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kolar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Houkes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Max Houkes - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.92%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Remy Bertola - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Max Houkes	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.04.26	Max Houkes - Max Schoenhaus	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Max Houkes - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Max Houkes - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 L?LWW
- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Zdenek Kolar - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Zdenek Kolar - Sergio Callejon Hernando	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Zdenek Kolar - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Max Houkes - Zdenek Kolar	Houkes M. retired

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