Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Rafael Jodar		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.69	2.28
	1.6	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 (1.6)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
59.4%

Dusan Lajovic
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rafael Jodar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dusan Lajovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	0%	26.3%

Rafael Jodar - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Lajovic will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 89. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 132.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lajovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jodar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Dusan Lajovic - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Rafael Jodar	Canceled ✺
19.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LW?WW
- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Dusan Lajovic - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Dusan Lajovic - Hugo Grenier	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Marco Cecchinato - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
23.02.26	Dusan Lajovic - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.26	Matteo Berrettini - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 W?LLL

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