Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Max Houkes		Mate Valkusz

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.49	2.42	Watch
			Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (2.07)	2.57 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
63.5%

Mate Valkusz
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Houkes's performance.

Mate Valkusz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mate Valkusz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Houkes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mate Valkusz than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mate Valkusz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Max Houkes - Mate Valkusz Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Houkes will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Valkusz will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Houkes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Max Houkes will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Houkes (votes: 4 - 80%). Valkusz (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 292. Valkusz is ranked ATP: 676.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Houkes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Max Houkes - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.95%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Max Houkes - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Max Houkes - Aristotelis Thanos	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.09.25	Max Houkes - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Max Houkes - Daniel Siniakov	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Max Houkes - Richard Antoni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW
- Mate Valkusz
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Martin Krumich - Mate Valkusz	Valkusz M. retired ✺
21.09.25	Felix Gill - Mate Valkusz	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Mate Valkusz - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Mate Valkusz - Marko Maksimovic	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Mate Valkusz - George Lazarov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?LWWW

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