Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Marco Trungelliti		Zdenek Kolar

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.5	1.59
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.47	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (1.99)	1.49 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
37.3%

Zdenek Kolar
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.

Zdenek Kolar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zdenek Kolar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zdenek Kolar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Kolar will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kolar: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kolar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 132. Kolar is ranked ATP: 197.

Now, both players are in good form.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Kolar will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trungelliti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.51%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Corentin Denolly - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Sean Cuenin - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Marco Trungelliti	2:1
07.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Marco Trungelliti	Canceled
03.04.21	Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar	0:2

Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide