Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Daniel Rincon		Maxim Mrva

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2	1.72
	1.98	1.74
	2.1	1.79
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	1.87	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
46.8%

Maxim Mrva
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Rincon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maxim Mrva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Daniel Rincon - Maxim Mrva Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Mrva will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 292. Mrva is ranked ATP: 271.

Rincon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mrva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rincon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Daniel Rincon - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Toby Samuel - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Daniel Rincon - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Clement Tabur - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL
- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Maxim Mrva - Alex Molcan	Canceled ✺
15.03.26	Maxim Mrva - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Paul Jubb - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Petr Nesterov - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Federico Iannaccone - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 ?LWWW

Daniel Rincon - Maxim Mrva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide