Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Maxim Mrva		Federico Bondioli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.68	2.34
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)	2.21 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
57.6%

Federico Bondioli
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Federico Bondioli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Maxim Mrva - Federico Bondioli Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mrva will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bondioli will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 295. Bondioli is ranked ATP: 363.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bondioli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mrva might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxim Mrva - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.8%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Maxim Mrva - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Maxim Mrva	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Gustavo Heide - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Maxim Mrva - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Maxim Mrva - Jan Sadzik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWW
- Federico Bondioli
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Federico Bondioli - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Federico Bondioli - Inaki Montes De La Torre	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
20.06.26	Adam Walton - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLW

Maxim Mrva - Federico Bondioli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide