Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday


	Maxim Mrva		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.06	1.79
	2.06	1.73	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.7	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.2)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
45%

Michael Geerts
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Maxim Mrva - Michael Geerts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 619. Geerts is ranked ATP: 276.

Recent form of Mrva has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Geerts's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mrva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Geerts is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.79%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Maxim Mrva - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Maxim Mrva - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Maxim Mrva - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.04.25	Maxim Mrva - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Ryan Seggerman - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Michael Geerts - Leo Borg	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Michael Geerts - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL

Maxim Mrva - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide