Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAN BENEDETTO (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 July 2023, Tuesday


	Michael Geerts		Matteo Gigante

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.75	1.43
	3.01	1.41
	2.62	1.44
	2.75	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.19)	1.42 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
33.9%

Matteo Gigante
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Gigante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Gigante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Michael Geerts - Matteo Gigante Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Gigante will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Geerts is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gigante is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Geerts could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gigante will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gigante to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Geerts won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
03.07.23	Michael Geerts - Rudolf Molleker	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
24.06.23	James McCabe - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.06.23	Michael Geerts - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
19.06.23	Dan Added - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
14.06.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
09.07.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	Matteo Gigante - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
07.07.23	Matteo Gigante - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
06.07.23	Matteo Gigante - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
04.07.23	Francesco Passaro - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.05.22	Michael Geerts - Matteo Gigante	2:0

Michael Geerts - Matteo Gigante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide