Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Tiago Pereira		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.52
	2.17	1.72
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.72)	1.62 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
42.6%

Michael Geerts
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiago Pereira's performance.

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Geerts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiago Pereira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Geerts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Tiago Pereira - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Geerts will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 267. Geerts is ranked ATP: 297.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pereira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pereira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Michael Geerts - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.02.26	Tiago Pereira - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Gauthier Onclin - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	John Echeverria - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Hugo Maia - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
05.03.26	Michael Geerts - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Michael Geerts - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Michael Geerts - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Felix Gill - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Michael Geerts - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Michael Geerts - Tiago Pereira	2:0

Upcoming Matches