Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Michael Geerts		Stefan Dostanic

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.47
	2.37	1.61
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.84)	1.53 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
38.8%

Stefan Dostanic
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.

Stefan Dostanic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefan Dostanic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Dostanic than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefan Dostanic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michael Geerts - Stefan Dostanic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Geerts (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Geerts (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 297. Dostanic is ranked ATP: 358.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Geerts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dostanic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Tiago Pereira - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Michael Geerts - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Michael Geerts - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Michael Geerts - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Felix Gill - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL
- Stefan Dostanic
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Henry Bernet - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Harry Wendelken - Stefan Dostanic	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Stefan Dostanic - Lui Maxted	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Stefan Dostanic - Petros Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW

Michael Geerts - Stefan Dostanic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide