Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Michael Geerts		Stefanos Sakellaridis

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.63
	2.25	1.68
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.14	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.14)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
42.9%

Stefanos Sakellaridis
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Michael Geerts - Stefanos Sakellaridis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Geerts (votes: 1 - 50%). Sakellaridis (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Stefanos Sakellaridis will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 297. Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 224.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Geerts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Geerts won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.09%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Michael Geerts - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Michael Geerts - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Felix Gill - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Michael Geerts - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW
- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Stefanos Sakellaridis	Carboni L. retired ✺
24.02.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.05.22	Michael Geerts - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0

Michael Geerts - Stefanos Sakellaridis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide