Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florence, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Florence 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Miguel Damas		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.76	2.02	Watch
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.80	2.00
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)	1.97 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
52.9%

Samuele Pieri
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Miguel Damas - Samuele Pieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damas is ranked ATP: 349., and Pieri is ranked ATP: 320..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Pieri could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Damas has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Damas - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Samuele Pieri - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Max Wiskandt - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Miguel Damas - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Johan Nikles - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.10.26	Alexander Ritschard - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Xavi Palomar - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW
- Samuele Pieri
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Samuele Pieri - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Samuele Pieri - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Samuele Pieri - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.02.25	Samuele Pieri - Miguel Damas	0:2

Miguel Damas - Samuele Pieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide