Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday


	Miguel Tobon		Lorenzo Claverie

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	1.56	2.25
	1.66	2.24
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.62	2.20
	1.62	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.3)	2.16 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Tobon
56.9%

Lorenzo Claverie
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miguel Tobon's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Claverie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Claverie's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Tobon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Claverie than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Claverie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Miguel Tobon - Lorenzo Claverie Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tobon will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Claverie will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

Tobon is ranked ATP: 499. Claverie is ranked ATP: 877.

Tobon has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Claverie has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Tobon is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Tobon
ATP Los Cabos
25.07.26	Miguel Tobon - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Tiago Pereira - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Miguel Tobon - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lorenzo Claverie
ATP Los Cabos
25.07.26	Tristan Boyer - Lorenzo Claverie	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.07.26	Lorenzo Claverie - Bruno Kuzuhara	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Matias Soto - Lorenzo Claverie	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Facundo Mena - Lorenzo Claverie	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Lorenzo Claverie - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLLWW

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