Match Info

Date: 22 September 2021, Wednesday


	Mikael Ymer		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.75	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.44
	2.8	1.5
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.73	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.93)	1.45 (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikael Ymer
34.6%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikael Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikael Ymer than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mikael Ymer - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ymer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carreno Busta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikael Ymer
ATP Metz
21.09.21	Mikael Ymer - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Mikael Ymer - Roberto Marcora	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.21	Jenson Brooksby - Mikael Ymer	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
28.08.21	Ilya Ivashka - Mikael Ymer	2:0 ✺
27.08.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 W?LLW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP US Open
31.08.21	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Maxime Cressy	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.21	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
25.08.21	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Dominik Koepfer	2:0 ✺
24.08.21	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Soon Woo Kwon	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
20.08.21	Daniil Medvedev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL

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