Match Info

Date: 27 August 2021, Friday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Mikael Ymer

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.7
	1.49	2.84
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)	2.76 ↓ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
65.5%

Mikael Ymer
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Mikael Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikael Ymer than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	0%	13.8%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mikael Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (50 of 58 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.34% – 95.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Alcaraz Garfia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcaraz Garfia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcaraz Garfia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.21	Marcos Giron - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
25.08.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Marton Fucsovics	2:1 ✺
24.08.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:0 ✺
15.08.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLW
- Mikael Ymer
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.21	Mikael Ymer - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
25.08.21	Max Purcell - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
24.08.21	Mikael Ymer - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
22.08.21	Mikael Ymer - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
29.07.21	Casper Ruud - Mikael Ymer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
10.02.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mikael Ymer	1:3

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