Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.83
	1.85	1.86	Watch
	2	1.82
	1.95	1.86	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.84	Watch
	1.85	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.75)	1.84 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
49.3%

Alibek Kachmazov
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alibek Kachmazov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kukushkin will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kukushkin: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 103. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 195.

Kukushkin is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kachmazov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kukushkin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Mikhail Kukushkin - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.89%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Almaty
13.10.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Li Tu	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Luciano Darderi - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 W?LWW
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Almaty
13.10.24	Maxime Cressy - Alibek Kachmazov	Cressy M. retired ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Nicolas Jarry - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.11.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2

Upcoming Matches