Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	1.44	2.63
	1.48	2.54
	1.42	2.8
	1.51	2.59
	1.40	2.86	Watch
	1.44	2.62
			Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)	2.63 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
64.4%

Andrea Pellegrino
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Mikhail Kukushkin - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Kukushkin (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Kukushkin (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kukushkin (votes: 2 - 50%). Pellegrino (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 223. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 139.

Kukushkin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pellegrino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kukushkin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Elias Ymer - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Aslan Karatsev - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Ryan Peniston - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW

Mikhail Kukushkin - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide