Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday


	Mirza Basic		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.27	1.65
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.33	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.63)	1.6 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirza Basic
41.7%

Mathys Erhard
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirza Basic's performance.

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mathys Erhard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirza Basic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathys Erhard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mirza Basic - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basic is ranked ATP: 515. Erhard is ranked ATP: 334.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Basic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Erhard could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Egor Agafonov - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Michael Bassem Sobhy - Mirza Basic	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Mirza Basic - Andrej Nedic	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Mirza Basic - Daniel Uta	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Mirza Basic - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Nino Ehrenschneider - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Alexandr Binda - Mathys Erhard	Canceled ✺
22.11.25	Jay Clarke - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Mathys Erhard - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Mathys Erhard - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 W?LWW

Mirza Basic - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide