Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Stellabotte N. (Ita)


	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.47	1.57
	2.25	1.57
	2.37	1.55	Watch
	2.26	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.03)	1.55 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
40%

Andrea Pellegrino
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco's form might have worsened.

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Pellegrino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pellegrino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pellegrino will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
28.03.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
26.03.24	Marc Polmans - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
29.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide