Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Prague - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Murphy Cassone		Mili Poljicak

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.48
	2.75	1.4
	2.91	1.4
	2.82	1.4	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.85	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (1.71)	1.42 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
34.4%

Mili Poljicak
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murphy Cassone's form might have worsened.

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mili Poljicak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murphy Cassone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mili Poljicak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Murphy Cassone - Mili Poljicak Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Poljicak (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 204. Poljicak is ranked ATP: 268.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Poljicak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWL
- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Alex Martinez	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Mili Poljicak - James Watt	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Luca Van Assche - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW

Murphy Cassone - Mili Poljicak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide