Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: YOKOHAMA (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 November 2023, Monday


	Naoki Nakagawa		Andres Martin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.82	1.9
	1.86	1.96
	1.87	1.96
	1.83	1.83
	1.87	1.86	Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.53)	1.9 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoki Nakagawa
50.9%

Andres Martin
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naoki Nakagawa's form might have worsened.

Andres Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andres Martin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Martin than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andres Martin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Naoki Nakagawa - Andres Martin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nakagawa will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Martin will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakagawa: 23.1% – 88.1%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nakagawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
19.11.23	Mathys Erhard - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
18.11.23	Yusuke Takahashi - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Blake Ellis - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
07.11.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW
- Andres Martin
ATP Challenger
14.11.23	Andres Martin - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Andres Martin - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
10.11.23	Andres Martin - Enzo Wallart	2:0 ✺
09.11.23	Andres Martin - Toby Samuel	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Ryan Peniston - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LLWWW

Naoki Nakagawa - Andres Martin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide