Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	DAZN
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Italy	Super Tennis
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	DAZN
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Naomi Osaka		Iga Swiatek

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.7	1.28	Watch
	3.83	1.31
	3.64	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.34	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (4.31)	1.31 ↑ (1.23)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
26.5%

Iga Swiatek
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

77.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Naomi Osaka - Iga Swiatek Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Swiatek will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 16. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 3.

Now, both players are in good form.

Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Swiatek is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Roma
10.05.26	Naomi Osaka - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Naomi Osaka - Eva Lys	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
27.04.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Anhelina Kalinina - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Iga Swiatek
WTA Roma
10.05.26	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Caty McNally - Iga Swiatek	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.26	Iga Swiatek - Ann Li	Swiatek I. Retired ✺
23.04.26	Iga Swiatek - Daria Snigur	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.26	Iga Swiatek - Mirra Andreeva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
29.05.24	Iga Swiatek - Naomi Osaka	2:1
WTA Miami
02.04.22	Naomi Osaka - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Toronto
08.08.19	Iga Swiatek - Naomi Osaka	0:2

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