Match Info

Date: 23 August 2022, Tuesday


	Nicolas Alvarez		Alexander Weis

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.87	1.89
	1.86	1.81
	1.97	1.85
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.2	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	1.81 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez
48.6%

Alexander Weis
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	0%	92%

Nicolas Alvarez - Alexander Weis Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Weis will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alvarez is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Weis is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alvarez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Weis to win the game is with odds 1.89.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez
ATP Challenger
18.08.22	Facundo Mena - Nicolas Alvarez	2:0 ✺
15.08.22	Nicolas Alvarez - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
14.08.22	Nicolas Alvarez - Jasel Beltre	2:0
09.08.22	Nicolas Alvarez - Jorge Brian Panta	0:2 ✺
08.07.22	Nicolas Alvarez - Gerald Melzer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
22.08.22	Ilya Snitari - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
21.08.22	Vladan Tadic - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
12.08.22	Alexander Weis - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
11.08.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
09.08.22	Timofey Skatov - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLWW

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