Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zagreb, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday


	Adrian Mannarino		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.17	1.71
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.62)	1.65 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
43.4%

Gonzalo Bueno
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Mannarino's performance.

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Bueno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Mannarino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Bueno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Adrian Mannarino - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Bueno will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bueno (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 126. Bueno is ranked ATP: 327.

Mannarino has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bueno is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Carlos Taberner - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Max Wiskandt - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Luka Pavlovic - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Liam Draxl - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW

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