Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Hugo Gaston		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.56	Watch
	2.39	1.58	Watch
	2.5	1.58
	2.46	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.58	Watch
	2.31	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.21)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
39.4%

Nicolas Jarry
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Hugo Gaston - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Jarry will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Jarry (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 78. Jarry is ranked ATP: 53.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Jarry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jarry could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 43.17%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Borna Gojo - Hugo Gaston	Gaston H. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Sebastian Ofner - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Hugo Gaston - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Cameron Norrie - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 ?LWWL
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Gastao Elias - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW

Hugo Gaston - Nicolas Jarry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide