Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday


	Learner Tien		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.91	1.85	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	2.13
			Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.76	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.98)	1.99 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
52%

Corentin Moutet
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Learner Tien - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Moutet will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Learner Tien will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 67. Moutet is ranked ATP: 83.

In recent matches, Tien has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moutet is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tien won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Mallorca
25.06.25	Ben Shelton - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Learner Tien - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
14.06.25	Learner Tien - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.25	Learner Tien - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Learner Tien - Yoshihito Nishioka	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLL?
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Mallorca
25.06.25	Corentin Moutet - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP London
19.06.25	Jacob Fearnley - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Corentin Moutet - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Corentin Moutet - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien	0:3

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