Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: RIO DE JANEIRO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 23 February 2023, Thursday


	Nicolas Jarry		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.33	3.3
	1.37	3.42
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.37	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.97)	3.21 ↑ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
70.3%

Pedro Martinez Portero
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Jarry's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Jarry that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.8%	0%	28.2%

Nicolas Jarry - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 28 - 71.8%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 11 - 28.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 57.7% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jarry is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Martinez Portero is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jarry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jarry is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jarry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
05.02.23	Nicolas Jarry - Timofey Skatov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWL?
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	1:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
07.02.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
ATP Auckland
09.01.23	Marcos Giron - Pedro Martinez Portero	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
26.07.22	Nicolas Jarry - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2

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