Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Nicolas Kicker		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	3.15	1.37
	3.02	1.34	Watch
	2.94	1.37	Watch
	2.3	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.1)	1.4 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Kicker
33.1%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Kicker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Kicker's form might have worsened.

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Diaz Acosta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Kicker than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Kicker, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Facundo Diaz Acosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kicker will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diaz Acosta: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kicker (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Diaz Acosta (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kicker is ranked ATP: 299. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 268.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Diaz Acosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Diaz Acosta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kicker won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Kicker
ATP Challenger
27.09.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Christian Garin - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWWL
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Henri Squire - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.03.23	Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2
24.09.22	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nicolas Kicker	1:2

Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Diaz Acosta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide