Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Pablo Llamas Ruiz		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.78	2.1
	1.67	2.16	Watch
			Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)	2.08 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
54.8%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Facundo Diaz Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llamas Ruiz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Llamas Ruiz (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Llamas Ruiz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 284. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 314.

Llamas Ruiz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Diaz Acosta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Diaz Acosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Llamas Ruiz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.12%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Henri Squire - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Elias Ymer - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2
ITF Tournaments
12.06.19	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Facundo Diaz Acosta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide