Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Costa do Sauipe - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Nicolas Kicker		Mateus Alves

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.91
	2.05	1.68	Watch
	1.9	1.83	Watch
	1.64	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.65)	1.87 ↓ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Kicker
50.1%

Mateus Alves
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Kicker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Kicker's form might have worsened.

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mateus Alves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Kicker than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Kicker, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mateus Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Nicolas Kicker - Mateus Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kicker will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Alves will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alves (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kicker is ranked ATP: 295. Alves is ranked ATP: 428.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kicker may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kicker won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Kicker
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Nicolas Kicker - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Nicolas Kicker - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Nicolas Kicker - Carlos Taberner	Canceled ✺
06.10.25	Nicolas Kicker - Hady Habib	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WL?LL
- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Ryan Augusto Dos Santos - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Hugo Dellien - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Enzo Camargo Lima - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.12.21	Mateus Alves - Nicolas Kicker	1:2

Nicolas Kicker - Mateus Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide