Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Nuno Borges		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	3	1.4
	2.7	1.45
	2.85	1.4	Watch
	3.03	1.44
			Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.96	1.46	Watch
	3.29	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.45)	1.41 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
32.3%

Karen Khachanov
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuno Borges that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karen Khachanov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.9%	0%	78.1%

Nuno Borges - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Borges (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Khachanov (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Borges (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Borges (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (25 of 32 users predict this - 78.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.81% – 92.45%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Borges (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Khachanov (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 37. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 20.

In recent matches, Borges has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Khachanov is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Borges may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Khachanov is considered a favorite.

We predict that Khachanov will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Borges won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Nuno Borges - Billy Harris	3:0 ✺
30.06.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Nuno Borges	1:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.25	Nuno Borges - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Nuno Borges - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
ATP London
16.06.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWL
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov	2:3 ✺
30.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.25	Karen Khachanov - Novak Djokovic	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Halle
21.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
22.05.22	Nuno Borges - Karen Khachanov	1:3

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