Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Absolu M. (Fra)


	Lorenzo Musetti		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.35	3.1	Watch
	1.38	3.23
	1.39	3.23
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.37	3.13	Watch
	1.38	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)	3.12 ↑ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
69.4%

Roberto Carballes Baena
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lorenzo Musetti - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Musetti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carballes Baena is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Musetti is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
04.04.24	Nuno Borges - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
26.03.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Barcelona
16.04.24	Hugo Grenier - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
07.04.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	Daniel Evans - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW

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