Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday


	Nuno Borges		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.46	1.55
	2.58	1.57
	2.48	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.55	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.48)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
38.1%

Mariano Navone
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuno Borges, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Nuno Borges - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 49. Navone is ranked ATP: 45.

Recent performances by Borges have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Navone is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Borges may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Navone could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Navone will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borges won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Mariano Navone - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 60.78%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Barcelona
17.04.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Nuno Borges - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Nuno Borges - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
ATP Bucharest
01.04.26	Nuno Borges - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Mariano Navone - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
05.04.26	Mariano Navone - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Mariano Navone - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Alex Molcan - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Elmer Moller - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Mariano Navone - Nuno Borges	1:2
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Mariano Navone - Nuno Borges	2:0

Nuno Borges - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide