Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Mariano Navone		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.7	Watch
	2.21	1.74
	2.16	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.32)	1.69 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
43.7%

Andrey Rublev
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Rublev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mariano Navone - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rublev will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 42. Rublev is ranked ATP: 15.

Navone is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rublev has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Navone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Navone will win today's game, with odds of 2.21.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mariano Navone - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.64%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Bucharest
05.04.26	Mariano Navone - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Mariano Navone - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Alex Molcan - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Elmer Moller - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Christopher OConnell - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Mariano Navone - Andrey Rublev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide