Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.29	3.43	Watch
	1.31	3.76
	1.31	3.42	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.33	3.65	Watch
	1.44	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)	3.38 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
71.7%

Daniel Altmaier
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefanos Tsitsipas's performance.

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Altmaier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Altmaier will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 3 - 60%). Altmaier (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Altmaier (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Altmaier (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Altmaier (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 28. Altmaier is ranked ATP: 56.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tsitsipas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tsitsipas is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tsitsipas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Tsitsipas - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.63%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexandre Muller	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Hamad Medjedovic	3:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
29.05.24	Daniel Altmaier - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3

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