Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Palermo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Lorenzo Angelini

	1	2
			Watch
	1.40	2.65	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.4	2.71	Watch
	1.41	2.69
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)	2.67 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
65.4%

Lorenzo Angelini
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lorenzo Angelini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Angelini than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Lorenzo Angelini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 615., and Angelini is ranked ATP: 569..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Ovcharenko could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ovcharenko holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.94%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Pierluigi Basile	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Filip Misolic - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	Misolic F. Retired ✺
04.09.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Georgii Kravchenko	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Robert Strombachs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 L?LWW
- Lorenzo Angelini
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Lorenzo Angelini	2:1 ✺
28.09.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Matteo Sciahbasi	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Lorenzo Comino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Lorenzo Angelini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide